Water KongmingTier 2
at HVN Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.9%
avg ELO -13.3 per match
expected value
41.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1327
· median 1327
· range 1327–1327
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1299
Q3 1461
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 17.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Wind Kongming | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
